Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel

Aleksander Król; Małgorzata Król; Krystian Szewczyński

doi:10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel

Wyniki badań: Rozdział w książce/raport/materiał konferencyjny › Wkład w konferencję › recenzja

Abstrakt

Urban road tunnels are a reasonable remedy for the inconvenience due to the congested road traffic. However, they bring specific threats, especially those related with the possibility of fire outbreak. The work is a case study for an urban road tunnel, and uses detailed data on traffic intensity and its generic structure. It was shown that although tunnel fire accidents are very rare events, a single fire can be expected in a relatively short time perspective, up to 10 years. The probability of a catastrophic fire is only serious in longer time horizons (about 50 years). The next important finding is that the hourly distribution of the fire accident probability is uneven, it is significantly higher at daytime, reaching the maximum value at 3 pm. This probability on weekends is significantly lower than for workdays. Such quantitative findings may serve as a basis for decisions on temporary restrictions on heavy vehicle traffic.

Język oryginału	angielski
Tytuł publikacji goszczącej	Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions
Redaktorzy	Elzbieta Macioszek, Grzegorz Sierpinski, Irena Jurdana
Wydawca	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Strony	42-54
Liczba stron	13
ISBN (drukowany)	9783032140937
Identyfikatory DOI	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4
Status publikacji	Opublikowano - 2026
Wydarzenie	21st Scientific and Technical Conference on Transport Systems Theory and Practice, TSTP 2025 - Katowice, Polska Czas trwania: 9 wrz 2025 → 10 wrz 2025

Seria publikacji

Nazwa	Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems
Tom	1769 LNNS
ISSN (drukowany)	2367-3370
ISSN (elektroniczny)	2367-3389

Konferencja

Konferencja	21st Scientific and Technical Conference on Transport Systems Theory and Practice, TSTP 2025
Kraj/Terytorium	Polska
Miejscowość	Katowice
Okres	9/09/25 → 10/09/25

Cele SDG ONZ

Ten wynik przyczynia się do realizacji następujących celów zrównoważonego rozwoju

Cel 11 Zrównoważone miasta i społeczności

Obszary tematyczne ASJC Scopus

Inżynieria sterowania i systemów
Przetwarzanie sygnałów
Sieci komputerowe i komunikacja

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10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

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Link do publikacji w Scopus

Cytowanie

Król, A., Król, M., & Szewczyński, K. (2026). Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel. W E. Macioszek, G. Sierpinski, & I. Jurdana (Red.), Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions (str. 42-54). (Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems; Tom 1769 LNNS). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

Król, Aleksander ; Król, Małgorzata ; Szewczyński, Krystian. / Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel. Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions. redaktor / Elzbieta Macioszek ; Grzegorz Sierpinski ; Irena Jurdana. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2026. str. 42-54 (Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems).

@inproceedings{67202629f209423e98104331bc532c75,

title = "Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel",

abstract = "Urban road tunnels are a reasonable remedy for the inconvenience due to the congested road traffic. However, they bring specific threats, especially those related with the possibility of fire outbreak. The work is a case study for an urban road tunnel, and uses detailed data on traffic intensity and its generic structure. It was shown that although tunnel fire accidents are very rare events, a single fire can be expected in a relatively short time perspective, up to 10 years. The probability of a catastrophic fire is only serious in longer time horizons (about 50 years). The next important finding is that the hourly distribution of the fire accident probability is uneven, it is significantly higher at daytime, reaching the maximum value at 3 pm. This probability on weekends is significantly lower than for workdays. Such quantitative findings may serve as a basis for decisions on temporary restrictions on heavy vehicle traffic.",

keywords = "fire accident likelihood, tunnel fire, urban road tunnel",

author = "Aleksander Kr{\'o}l and Ma{\l}gorzata Kr{\'o}l and Krystian Szewczy{\'n}ski",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.; 21st Scientific and Technical Conference on Transport Systems Theory and Practice, TSTP 2025 ; Conference date: 09-09-2025 Through 10-09-2025",

year = "2026",

doi = "10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4\_4",

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series = "Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems",

publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH",

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editor = "Elzbieta Macioszek and Grzegorz Sierpinski and Irena Jurdana",

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Król, A , Król, M & Szewczyński, K 2026, Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel. w E Macioszek, G Sierpinski & I Jurdana (red), Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, tom 1769 LNNS, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, str. 42-54, 21st Scientific and Technical Conference on Transport Systems Theory and Practice, TSTP 2025, Katowice, Polska, 9/09/25. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel. / Król, Aleksander ; Król, Małgorzata ; Szewczyński, Krystian.
Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions. red. / Elzbieta Macioszek; Grzegorz Sierpinski; Irena Jurdana. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2026. str. 42-54 (Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems; Tom 1769 LNNS).

Wyniki badań: Rozdział w książce/raport/materiał konferencyjny › Wkład w konferencję › recenzja

TY - GEN

T1 - Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel

AU - Król, Aleksander

AU - Król, Małgorzata

AU - Szewczyński, Krystian

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.

PY - 2026

Y1 - 2026

N2 - Urban road tunnels are a reasonable remedy for the inconvenience due to the congested road traffic. However, they bring specific threats, especially those related with the possibility of fire outbreak. The work is a case study for an urban road tunnel, and uses detailed data on traffic intensity and its generic structure. It was shown that although tunnel fire accidents are very rare events, a single fire can be expected in a relatively short time perspective, up to 10 years. The probability of a catastrophic fire is only serious in longer time horizons (about 50 years). The next important finding is that the hourly distribution of the fire accident probability is uneven, it is significantly higher at daytime, reaching the maximum value at 3 pm. This probability on weekends is significantly lower than for workdays. Such quantitative findings may serve as a basis for decisions on temporary restrictions on heavy vehicle traffic.

AB - Urban road tunnels are a reasonable remedy for the inconvenience due to the congested road traffic. However, they bring specific threats, especially those related with the possibility of fire outbreak. The work is a case study for an urban road tunnel, and uses detailed data on traffic intensity and its generic structure. It was shown that although tunnel fire accidents are very rare events, a single fire can be expected in a relatively short time perspective, up to 10 years. The probability of a catastrophic fire is only serious in longer time horizons (about 50 years). The next important finding is that the hourly distribution of the fire accident probability is uneven, it is significantly higher at daytime, reaching the maximum value at 3 pm. This probability on weekends is significantly lower than for workdays. Such quantitative findings may serve as a basis for decisions on temporary restrictions on heavy vehicle traffic.

KW - fire accident likelihood

KW - tunnel fire

KW - urban road tunnel

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105028315580

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

DO - 10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:105028315580

SN - 9783032140937

T3 - Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems

SP - 42

EP - 54

BT - Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions

A2 - Macioszek, Elzbieta

A2 - Sierpinski, Grzegorz

A2 - Jurdana, Irena

PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

T2 - 21st Scientific and Technical Conference on Transport Systems Theory and Practice, TSTP 2025

Y2 - 9 September 2025 through 10 September 2025

ER -

Król A , Król M , Szewczyński K. Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel. W Macioszek E, Sierpinski G, Jurdana I, redaktorzy, Smart and Environmentally Friendly Contemporary Road Traffic and Transportation Engineering Solutions. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. 2026. str. 42-54. (Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems). doi: 10.1007/978-3-032-14094-4_4

Hourly Distribution of the Probability of a Fire Accident in a Urban Road Tunnel

Abstrakt

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Konferencja

Cele SDG ONZ

Obszary tematyczne ASJC Scopus

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