Abstract
The aim of the study is to analyze the impact of climate change on modern low-energy construction. The authors attempted to answer the question whether an existing single-family building that meets the current requirements for a low-energy facility can be called such in terms of ongoing long-term climate changes. Therefore, on the model of the building in question, the ESP-r program analyzed the impact of climate change on energy consumption for both heating and cooling purposes. The SSP2-4.5 scenario (RCP 4.5 according to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report) was adopted, generating future climate parameters for 2050 and 2080, using the HadCM3 model. In order to validate the model, the actual energy consumption values were compared with the values obtained from numerical modeling in the ESP-r program. The final task was to analyze the impact of ongoing climate changes on energy parameters and comfort of use of the facility. Based on the results obtained, the authors concluded that the effect of the changes that take place is the need to introduce an air conditioning system into it in the summer, because the currently existing solution, using a mechanical ventilation system to maintain thermal comfort, is unable to provide the required parameters in the rooms. We are dealing with the phenomenon of excessive temperature increase in the building in the summer. Therefore, the facility currently designed as a low-energy building will require the installation of additional installation systems in the coming years, primarily cooling rooms, which will involve increased energy consumption.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 10504 |
| Journal | Sustainability (Switzerland) |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue number | 23 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Dec 2025 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy
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SDG 12 Responsible Consumption and Production
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SDG 13 Climate Action
Keywords
- climate change
- energy efficiency
- energy transformation
- facility cooling
- greenhouse gas emissions
- HadCM3 climate model
- heat pump
- heating degree days
- heating energy
- low-energy building
- morphing technique
- photovoltaic panels
- reduction in energy consumption
- renewable energy sources
- scenario SSP2-4.5 (RCP 4.5)
- sustainability
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Computer Science (miscellaneous)
- Geography, Planning and Development
- Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
- Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
- Energy Engineering and Power Technology
- Hardware and Architecture
- Computer Networks and Communications
- Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
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